Why Most Published Research Findings Are False

There is increasing concern that most current published research findings are false. The probability that a research claim is true may depend on study power and bias

by John P. A. Ioannidis

There is increasing concern that most current published research findings are false. The probability that a research claim is true may depend on study power and bias, the number of other studies on the same question, and, importantly, the ratio of true to no relationships among the relationships probed in each scientific field. In this framework, a research finding is less likely to be true when the studies conducted in a field are smaller; when effect sizes are smaller; when there is a greater number and lesser preselection of tested relationships; where there is greater flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes; when there is greater financial and other interest and prejudice; and when more teams are involved in a scientific field in chase of statistical significance…

Longtime Paid FBI Informant Was Instrumental in Terror Case Against “Turtle Island Liberation Front”

Kash Patel and others touted the FBI’s investigative work, but the few available details point to a more complicated picture.

by Noah Hurowitz, Trevor Aaronson

An FBI investigation into an alleged terror plot in Southern California bears the familiar hallmarks of the bureau’s long-running use of informants and undercover agents to advance plots that might not otherwise have materialized, court documents show.

News of the plot surfaced Monday morning in a Fox News report that ran ahead of court filings or official statements. Within minutes, FBI officials amplified the story on social media…

AIPAC Head Hosts Fundraiser for House Candidate Who Swears AIPAC Isn’t Backing Her

Laura Fine has distanced herself from the Israel lobby, but AIPAC donors are pouring funding into her Illinois congressional campaign.

by Akela Lacy, Jonah Valdez

The American Israel Public Affairs Committee is not publicly backing any candidate in the race to replace Democratic Rep. Jan Schakowsky in Illinois’s 9th Congressional District. But in private, the group is fundraising for Democratic state Sen. Laura Fine, who has distanced herself from AIPAC and said she isn’t seeking its endorsement…

Two Brown University Students Are Linked to Other School Shootings – What Are the Odds?

Two Brown University students, Mia Tretta, who was reportedly shot in the stomach during a school shooting at Saugus High School in 2019

by Democracy Now, Redacted and ABC

Two Brown University students, Mia Tretta, who was reportedly shot in the stomach during a school shooting at Saugus High School in 2019, and Zoe Weissman, who was nearby during the Parkland school shooting in 2018, have dominated in the media and set the narrative…

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